Sold out through 2027: capacity becomes the product
3 min read · 15 sources
- Selling NOW (ServiceNow), $25,377.
- Buying AMZN (Amazon), $20,684. A sold-out book through 2027 converts demand into contracted revenue visibility, and scarcity of capacity always ends up repriced into contracts.
- Buying AVGO (Broadcom), $20,546. The survey confirms VMware upgrade spend is now a fixed enterprise budget line, which is pricing power wearing a complaint.
- Plus 4 smaller adjustments, listed in full in the trades table below.
- AWS capacity is sold out through 2027 per Andy Jassy, converting compute scarcity into contracted revenue visibility and repricing every supplier downstream.
- Google Cloud adds Anthropic-managed Claude deployments, making GCP the neutral place to run a rival's flagship model and monetizing TPUs either way.
One quote did the work today. Andy Jassy says AWS capacity is sold out through 2027. Everything else on the tape - a Claude deployment option
When the biggest cloud operator says it is full for two years, the binding constraint stops being the model and starts being the wall socket.
Scoreboard
| Strategy | Return | Benchmark | Excess | Max drawdown | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top 5, equal weight | +1.18% | -0.58% | +1.76% | -10.33% | 38 |
| Top 10, conviction weighted | +0.61% | -0.58% | +1.19% | -10.36% | 38 |
| Long top 5 / short bottom 5 | +3.70% | -0.58% | +4.28% | -7.02% | 38 |
| Top 5, free-tier signals | +1.18% | -0.58% | +1.76% | -10.33% | 38 |
The book
| Ticker | Company | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE | Adobe | 0.6% | $634 |
| AKAM | Akamai | -0.2% | $-247 |
| AMD | AMD | 0.2% | $160 |
| AMZN | Amazon | -0.3% | $-304 |
| AVGO | Broadcom | -0.2% | $-166 |
| COIN | Coinbase | 24.0% | $24,557 |
| CRM | Salesforce | -0.7% | $-700 |
| CSCO | Cisco | -0.1% | $-73 |
| DDOG | Datadog | 1.0% | $1,028 |
| GOOGL | Alphabet | 24.7% | $25,363 |
| INTC | Intel | 0.1% | $141 |
| META | Meta Platforms | 0.1% | $142 |
| MRVL | Marvell | 0.3% | $286 |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 0.1% | $125 |
| MU | Micron | -0.2% | $-179 |
| NET | Cloudflare | 0.6% | $583 |
| NOW | ServiceNow | 24.8% | $25,377 |
| NVDA | NVIDIA | -0.3% | $-333 |
| OKTA | Okta | -1.0% | $-1,007 |
| QCOM | Qualcomm | -0.5% | $-481 |
| RBLX | Roblox | -0.0% | $-33 |
| SHOP | Shopify | -0.1% | $-57 |
| SNOW | Snowflake | -0.3% | $-316 |
| TEAM | Atlassian | -0.0% | $-11 |
| XYZ | Block | -0.1% | $-62 |
Trades decided 2026-10-26
Filled at the next session’s open, not today’s close.
| Action | Ticker | Amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| sell | NOW | $25,377 | |
| buy | AMZN | $20,684 | A sold-out book through 2027 converts demand into contracted revenue visibility, and scarc |
| buy | AVGO | $20,546 | The survey confirms VMware upgrade spend is now a fixed enterprise budget line, which is p |
| buy | HOOD | $20,380 | Tokenized equities usable as DeFi collateral turn a novelty into a money leg, which is whe |
| sell | GOOGL | $4,983 | Hosting Claude as a managed GCP option monetizes TPUs even when the model belongs to a riv |
| sell | COIN | $4,177 | Recurring collateral flows over Base give the L2 a money-market use case beyond trading, d |
| sell | DDOG | $1,028 |
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