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Kalshi cuts liquidity perks over wash trading, Robinhood rolls out US perps

7 min read · 12 sources

TL;DR
  • Kalshi told the CFTC it will end its Volume Incentive Program after allegations of $5 billion in wash-traded ether perps, despite hitting $52.98 billion in September volume.
  • Robinhood plans to launch US perpetual futures with up to 10x leverage and introduced agentic AI tooling that runs nearly 30 million automated actions daily.
  • El Salvador is launching a stablecoin remittance app on Base to solve volatility problems after Bitcoin legal tender failed to gain broad transaction traction.
  • Stripe rolled out an end-to-end stablecoin stack spanning Bridge orchestration, Privy embedded wallets, and merchant checkouts across 34 countries.
  • Quantus launched a proof-of-work chain combining Bitcoin-style emissions with NIST-approved ML-DSA lattice signatures to guard against quantum ECDSA vulnerabilities.

Kalshi is pulling the plug on its maker subsidies after volume inflation allegations caught the attention of regulators. The prediction exchange told the CFTC it will terminate its Volume Incentive Program no earlier than October 13, following public scrutiny over programmatic trading loops that generated massive, artificial activity in ether derivatives. Even as it winds down the payout model, the platform posted $52.98 billion in volume through September 29, secured direct fund exposure from Ark Invest, and is shopping for a $1 billion raise at a $40 billion valuation.

Meanwhile, the race for retail derivatives is spilling into regulated US brokers. Robinhood is preparing in-app crypto perpetuals, 24/7 equities trading, and autonomous execution bots. From retail leverage to sovereign balance sheets, the operational focus across crypto is shifting away from ideological purity toward boring, performant settlement rails.

Repeated 5,500 dollar prints allegedly inflated ether perpetual futures volume by more than 5 billion dollars over the past month.

Kalshi shutters incentive program amid wash trading probes

Source: theblock.co ↗

Kalshi told the CFTC it plans to end its Volume Incentive Program no earlier than October 13, per The Block. The program paid market participants rebates for posting quotes and deepening order books. The sudden cancellation follows reports that the CFTC started reviewing Kalshi order books after community observers flagged continuous, automated $5,500 transactions. These trades allegedly inflated ether perpetual futures volume by more than $5 billion in the past 30 days alone.

Kalshi publicly denies being under active regulatory investigation. The exchange claims the repetitive fills were not wash trading, but the natural mechanical byproduct of programmatic market makers resting static liquidity clips that high-frequency taker bots repeatedly swept. Wash trading or not, the volume prints served their commercial purpose: Kalshi logged an all-time monthly volume high of $52.98 billion by late September. Institutional allocators took notice. Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest disclosed direct exposure to Kalshi across ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF, while Reuters reported the firm is finalizing a $1 billion equity round that would value the company at $40 billion.

Robinhood brings crypto perps and weekend equities to US accounts

Source: theblock.co ↗

Robinhood announced it will launch in-app perpetual futures for eligible US accounts in the coming months, reported The Block. The product supports bitcoin, ether, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, ADA, LINK, and HYPE. Leverage limits are set at 10x for BTC and ETH, while alternate tokens cap out at 3x. Execution routes through Bitstamp, which Robinhood acquired earlier, supported by a 0.01% promotional fee through the end of the year.

The brokerage is also expanding traditional asset availability by prepping 24/7 weekend trading for a whitelisted collection of US stocks and ETFs, subject to regulatory clearance. To capture retail algorithmic volume, the platform launched Robinhood Agents, allowing end users to build and run rule-based and LLM-driven trading logic natively in the client. That launch formalizes an experimental agentic trading feature shipped in May, which has grown to 150,000 active users executing nearly 30 million automated actions per day.

El Salvador pivots remittance rail to Base stablecoins

Source: threadreaderapp.com ↗

Five years after making Bitcoin mandatory legal tender, El Salvador’s government is launching an official digital dollar application built on Base. While the nation’s treasury still holds BTC, the asset failed to gain meaningful ground as a day-to-day medium of exchange among citizens and merchants wary of 20% weekly price drawdowns.

The new Base-native app targets remittances, which represent roughly 25% of El Salvador’s GDP. Deploying on an Ethereum Layer-2 gives the government sub-cent transaction settlement while anchoring balances to fiat parity. Migrating remittances away from legacy wire corridors and onto an EVM roll-up provides a predictable dollar unit of account that the volatile Chivo Bitcoin wallet never achieved.

Unbundling compute markets with Simple Compute Market

Source: x.com ↗

Sourcing inference compute remains bottlenecked by centralized brokers, long-term provider lock-ins, and manual enterprise sales loops. The Simple Compute Market (SCM) protocol outlines an alternative: an open-source standard for programmable, multi-vendor compute allocation.

Rather than channeling hardware behind a unified cloud marketplace, SCM unbundles compute operations into modular actors. Sellers run sovereign storefront nodes, listings propagate through federated registries, and buyers negotiate capacity peer-to-peer over standardized APIs. The architecture allows an AI inference operator to query regional memory-heavy instances, negotiate spot SLAs, and programmatically bind hardware instances to model weight orchestration pipelines without depending on a single infrastructure operator. Arkhai is developing a managed service tier above the protocol, maintaining the underlying protocol as an open-source primitive.

Stripe rolls out an end-to-end stablecoin API stack

Source: x.com ↗

Stripe has consolidated its crypto acquisitions and internal payment tools into a unified modular stablecoin stack covering issuance, balance treasury, global payouts, merchant checkout, and fiat on-ramps. The architecture leverages Bridge for cross-chain liquidity orchestration and Privy for embedded, programmable customer wallets.

The surface area is entirely abstract:

  • Card Issuance: Stripe Issuing lets fintechs like Morse mint stablecoin-backed Visa cards across 16 countries.
  • Treasury: Stripe Treasury provides dual-currency balances holding both fiat reserves and stablecoins.
  • Global Payouts: Enterprise HR platforms like Remote.com distribute USDC to contractors across 60+ countries, settling 2 to 3 days faster than SWIFT while trimming over 100 basis points in foreign exchange conversion friction.
  • Checkout: Shopify merchants across 34 countries can accept stablecoins natively, settling either directly in crypto or auto-converted into local fiat.

The suite also anchors to Tempo, an application-focused payments chain, and adopts the Open USD standard for asset backing, giving enterprise backend teams access to crypto rails through standard Stripe REST APIs.

Blockchains as permissionless risk engines

Source: x.com ↗

Financial history is littered with liquidity constraints driven by listing committees, broker clearing houses, and jurisdictional boundaries. In an analytical breakdown, Robbie Petersen argues that the structural moat of blockchain networks is their ability to expand market space along two axes: underlying risk units (such as hash rate, tokenized physical commodities, and GPU-hours) and financial instruments (spot, continuous perps, and prediction markets).

Decentralized venues remove the gatekeepers deciding what can be priced. Hyperliquid is a primary case study: its HIP-3 and HIP-4 standards allow users to spin up synthetic derivatives markets on a shared state engine without central approval. On-chain real-world asset perpetuals processed an annualized run-rate of $1.4 trillion in July, while platforms like trade.xyz hosted active WTI crude oil price discovery during weekend macro supply shocks when CME trading desks were offline.

Quantus deploys post-quantum lattice cryptography on PoW

Source: x.com ↗

With the impending deprecation of elliptic curve signatures, Quantus has launched as a proof-of-work blockchain built on quantum-resistant primitives. The network, which raised $2.42 million from backers including Balaji Srinivasan and Naval Ravikant’s fund, preserves Bitcoin’s 21 million coin supply cap and halving schedule (emitting ~0.31 QTC per 12-second block), but swaps ECDSA signatures for Module-Lattice-Based Digital Signatures (ML-DSA, standardized under NIST FIPS 204). It also integrates Zcash-style shielded zero-knowledge wormhole addresses for private transfers.

The engineering trade-off is signature size: ML-DSA keys and proofs require kilobytes of storage compared to ECDSA’s 64-byte footprints, forcing custom block space allocation. The security argument centers on exposed keys. Google demonstrated quantum algorithms reducing the theoretical workload to break Bitcoin’s secp256k1 curve to under 1,200 logical qubits. Over 6.04 million BTC - roughly 30% of total supply - reside in legacy addresses where the raw public key has been broadcast to the chain. Without hard-forked coin migrations like BIP-360, those balances remain vulnerable once quantum hardware scales. Quantus trades block bloat for native post-quantum security out of the box.

The mechanical reality of tokenized on-chain equities

Source: x.com ↗

As real-world equities appear on decentralized rails, an architectural deep dive highlights the differences between true shares and on-chain representations like xStocks. Tokenized assets fall into three categories: direct legal share ownership registered on-chain, fully collateralized tracker certificates held by a custodian, or synthetic derivatives mirroring price feeds without underlying asset backing.

Most retail implementations run as tracker certificates. Token holders hold contractual claims on a custodian rather than voting rights or direct shareholder equity. The price peg requires designated authorized participants to run continuous arbitrage between traditional equity clearing networks and decentralized liquidity pools.

When US equity markets close on Friday, this primary arbitrage loop breaks; without continuous underlying liquidity, secondary on-chain market spreads widen during weekend volatility. Despite this constraint, tokenized shares introduce direct DeFi utility: platforms like Kamino accept tracker tokens as collateral to borrow USDC, allowing portfolio leverage to clear atomically without standard three-day brokerage settlement delays.

Fast updates: HSBC RedCoin, Tazapay, and Aave

Source: threadreaderapp.com ↗

  • HSBC names retail token RedCoin: Hong Kong’s largest bank officially labeled its coming digital currency HSBC RedCoin, designating its initial deployment for peer-to-peer remittances and merchant point-of-sale clearance before opening up institutional liquidity features.
  • Tazapay routes to Polygon: Cross-border payments infrastructure provider Tazapay selected Polygon as its primary chain, plugging into an ecosystem alongside Revolut that currently settles more than $1 billion in monthly corporate payment volume.
  • Aave sees liquidity momentum: Aave dominated market chatter over a 24-hour cycle following shifts in lending demand and collateral configurations across its deployed v3 markets.
  • Wirex migrates card issuance in-house: Crypto card company Wirex published an operational alert notifying users that Wirex Limited became the direct issuer of its Visa program on September 30, replacing third-party provider Transact Payments Malta.
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